Causal Random Forests, by Mark White

I stumbled accros this incredibly interesting read by Mark White, who discusses the (academic) theory behind, inner workings, and example (R) applications of causal random forests: EXPLICITLY OPTIMIZING ON CAUSAL EFFECTS VIA THE CAUSAL RANDOM FOREST: A PRACTICAL INTRODUCTION AND TUTORIAL (By Mark White) These so-called “honest” forests seem a great technique to identify opportunities…

Two Tinder Experiments: An Unequal Economy

I’ve seen a fair share of Tinder experiments come by, for instance, someone A/B-testing attractiveness with and without facial hair, but these new two posts on Medium are the best I’ve come across so far. In his first experiment, this self-proclaimed worst online dater went catfishing. He made a Tinder account using stock photos of…

Helpful resources for A/B testing

Brandon Rohrer — (former) data scientist at Microsoft, iRobot, and Facebook — asked his network on Twitter and LinkedIn to share their favorite resources on A/B testing. It produced a nice list, which I summarized below. The order is somewhat arbitrary, and somewhat based on my personal appreciation of the resources. Course: A/B-testing by Google…

Propensity Score Matching Explained Visually

Propensity score matching (wiki) is a statistical matching technique that attempts to estimate the effect of a treatment (e.g., intervention) by accounting for the factors that predict whether an individual would be eligble for receiving the treatment. The wikipedia page provides a good example setting: Say we are interested in the effects of smoking on…

How to find two identical Skittles packs?

In a hilarious experiment the anonymous mathematician behind the website Possibly Wrong estimated that s/he only needed to open “about 400-500” packs of Skittles to find an identifical pack. From January 12th up to April 6th, s/he put it to the test and counted the contents of an astonishing 468 packs, containing over 27.000 individual…

A/B Testing a New Look

This WordPress blogger I came across — let’s call him “John” for now — has a very peculiar way of testing out his looks. Using dating-apps like Tinder, John conducted A/B-tests to find out whether people would prefer him romantically with or without a beard.  Via a proper experimental setup, John found out that bearded John receives much…

12 Guidelines for Effective A/B Testing

I wrote about Emily Robinson and her A/B testing activities at Etsy before, but now she’s back with a great new blog full of practical advice: Emily provides 12 guidelines for A/B testing that help to setup effective experiments and mitigate data-driven but erroneous conclusions: Have one key metric for your experiment. Use that key…

Xenographics: Unusual charts and maps

Xeno.graphics is the collection of unusual charts and maps Maarten Lambrechts maintains. It’s a repository of novel, innovative, and experimental visualizations to inspire you, to fight xenographphobia, and popularize new chart types. For instance, have you ever before heard of a time curve? These are very useful to visualize the development of a relationship over time. The…

Generating Book Covers By Their Words — My Dissertation Cover

As some of you might know, I am defending my PhD dissertation later this year. It’s titled “Data-Driven Human Resource Management: The rise of people analytics and its application to expatriate management” and, over the past few months, I was tasked with designing its cover. Now, I didn’t want to buy some random stock photo…